Many people don't seem to understand the Collegiate system. It's complicated, and unnecessary. It's only there so Delegates and "Super" Delegates get to choose over the people who they'd like as the party's Candidate through many "screening processes" such as the Primaries and even filters people based on other unpublicized agendas for the party. So let's break it down really quick.
The Collegiate system works as each state has a certain amount of points based on their population and roughly how many Congressional Districts. Such as NY has roughly 21 million population, BUT 29 Congressional Districts, BUT it has 31 Electoral Collegiate Votes.
The Collegiate system trickles down to a local level. If you win 51% of votes in Counties 1, 2 and 3 which are in Region 1, you'll win ALL the Collegiate Votes for that Region. If you win the majority of the Voting Points for that State, you'll win ALL the Collegiate votes from that state. Which ranges from 3 (ND, Wyoming, Alaska, etc) - 55 (California.) You need 270 to win the US Presidential Election. So yeah, it's a system built for those in power to choose who they want in, and to make sure they continue living as a public official. It's a system that takes the idea of Democracy and throws it right out the window.
This same idea goes into the Primaries, EXCEPT Super-Delegates (former Party Officials, Senators, Congressmen, and even Ex-Presidents.) These individual people have the power equivalent to tens of thousands of votes. And there are many dozens, if not 100+ Delegates and Super Delegates per state. And you don't need all the people to vote one way, you just need 1% over, which is enough.
So now you understand the value of the Electoral Collegiate Voting System and how it works you can better understand one of the most important Elections of our generation. And yeah, The Collegiate System is total bullshit like you think it is. In 2000 it ruined Al Gore because the people who had the power to recall votes, and stop recounts in Florida were for Bush.
Obama has a Predicted lead that is climbing everyday, Considering a +10% advantage in certain states, and obviouslly Democratic (guaranteed win, NY, CA, NJ, Most of New England) or Republican (guaranteed loss, Alabama, Georgia, Utah, etc)
There are a few States Obama's popularity is only Leaning, which means a 6-10% Polling advantage, and have voted both ways MANY times. But all pollers have put a 10% Percentage Points "Race -/+" because they feel about 10% just won't vote at all when the time comes because he is black. They could be totally wrong and he loses by more then 10%, and they could be partly right and he wins 30%+ in all "leaning states" such as Pennsylvania, NH, Minnesota, Michigan.
For a good look at an Electoral Map go to NPR Electoral Collegiate Voting Map
Now, you've looked at the map. Understand how BIG of an advantage Obama has. According to NPR's sources, it's a 110 Point lead, McCain with 163, Obama with 273. If that was the election, Obama would have won.
It's actually possible for either of them NOT to get 270, but it's VERY unlikely, in that case I believe an extra vote is cast by Congress, I'm not sure. It's never happened that I'm aware of in the history of the US.
Now Obama has this big lead, he's getting about 1/10th the media time McCain and Palin have been the last week or so, but he keeps climbing in the polls substantially.
I'm NOT an Obama supporter, however I am against the Conservative Agenda of Tax-Breaks for the top 5% richest (who have 90% of Country's wealth.) The Power's that be have completely changed McCain, who has otherwise, except the past 5 years, has been more of an independent his whole public career. He is for this War, and will Continue to keep the same Agenda Bush has kept our country on for 8 years. And fuck it, let the world know we can have a black President, we're not as bad as people make us out to be.
So Vote Obama, not because he's great. In these eye's opinion he's good enough, but he is obviouslly intelligent, and I believe he will do a lot better then his critics claim. And fuck it, let the world know we can have a (1/2) black President, we're not as bad as people make us out to be.
Thursday, October 23, 2008
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